统计研究 ›› 2021, Vol. 38 ›› Issue (3): 3-15.doi: 10.19343/j. cnki.11-1302/c.2021.03.001

• •    下一篇

年限-效率模式选择与中国的生产性资本存量核算

王开科 曾五一 王春云   

  • 出版日期:2021-03-25 发布日期:2021-03-25

The Selecting of the Age-Efficiency Profiles and the Accounting of China’s Productive Capital Stock

Wang Kaike Zeng Wuyi Wang Chunyun   

  • Online:2021-03-25 Published:2021-03-25

摘要: 本文主要从年限-效率模式选择的角度研究我国的生产性资本存量核算问题。围绕永续盘存法下生产性资本存量核算的步骤和环节,综合利用多源数据开展了资产耐用年限、效率损失参数等针对性估计,测算了不同年限-效率模式下的生产性资本存量数据,并以全要素生产率(TFP)的测算应用为标准,探讨了年限-效率模式的选择问题。主要边际贡献有:一是将线性规划方法应用于全社会资产平均耐用年限测算中,二是提出了双曲线模式下效率损失参数的估计方法和检验思路,三是检验出基于双曲线型年限-效率模式所测算的生产性资本存量更适于开展我国的TFP 分析。本文建议将双曲线型年限-效率模式纳入我国资本存量核算理论研究和实务应用之中,该模式下总量层面的效率损失参数为0.58。这一研究为规范我国资本存量核算研究范式、完善资本存量核算方法提供了参考。

关键词: 生产性资本存量, 年限-效率模式, 资产效率损失参数, 全社会资产平均耐用年限

Abstract: This paper studies the accounting of China’s productive capital stock considering the selection of age-efficiency profiles. Based on the steps of the Perpetual Inventory Method (PIM) in the calculation of productive capital stock, the paper comprehensively uses multi-source data to make targeted estimation of key parameters such as the asset service life and capital efficiency loss parameter, measures the productive capital stock in different ageefficiency profiles, and discusses the selection of the age-efficiency profiles with the measurement of the total factor productivity (TFP) as the standard. The main marginal contributions are: ①It applies the linear programming method to the calculation of the average durability of the entire social assets; ②Itproposes the estimation method and testing ideas of the efficiency loss parameter under the hyperbolic age-efficiency profile; ③It shows that productive capital stock measured in the hyperbolic age-efficiency profile is more suitable for the analysis of China’s TFP. The paper proposes incorporating the hyperbolic age-efficiency profile in the theoretical research and practical application of the China’ s capital stock accounting,and the efficiency loss parameter of the age-efficiency profile at the aggregate level is 0.58. This research helps to standardize the research paradigm of China’ s capital stock accounting, and improve the accounting method of China’s capital stock.

Key words: Productive Capital Stock, Age-Efficiency Profile, Asset Efficiency Loss Parameter, Average Durability of the Entire Social Assets